Odds Of Winning Blackjack Counting Cards
Blackjack, formerly also Black Jack and Vingt-Un, is the American member of a global family of banking games known as Twenty-One, whose relatives include the British game of Pontoon and the European game, Vingt-et-Un. It is a comparing card game between one or more players and a dealer, where each player in turn competes against the dealer. Players do not compete against each other. The odds vary depending on the game rules and the number of decks, but the odds of a dealer busting in blackjack are about 30%. What is the house edge in blackjack? The house edge in blackjack is the percent of the player’s initial bet that the casino should expect to win in the long-term. If the count is +10, with five decks remaining in a six-deck shoe, then the “true count” is 10/5 = 2. This means games like double-deck blackjack are better for counting. Players do not need to play through those first decks in the shoe while waiting for the true count to be positive.
Let's consider card counting on a blackjack game with 6 decks of cards. This is one of the most popular games at online and land casinos, but, do not forget that it is impossible to count cards online. The table and the graphics below show you how likely the counts are and what your winning odds will be.
% of times occurred in the games
Can You Win Blackjack By Counting Cards
Count
The most probable count to occur is a 'zero' count, however, sometimes differences occur and the table below shows just how.
| Count | % | Prob. this or more |
| -39 | 0,00000008% | 100,00000000% |
| -38 | 0,00000020% | 99,99999992% |
| -37 | 0,00000052% | 99,99999972% |
| -36 | 0,00000168% | 99,99999920% |
| -35 | 0,00000480% | 99,99999752% |
| -34 | 0,00000888% | 99,99999272% |
| -33 | 0,00001664% | 99,99998384% |
| -32 | 0,00003104% | 99,99996720% |
| -31 | 0,00006028% | 99,99993616% |
| -30 | 0,00011232% | 99,99987588% |
| -29 | 0,00021916% | 99,99976356% |
| -28 | 0,00038904% | 99,99954440% |
| -27 | 0,00072388% | 99,99915536% |
| -26 | 0,00124204% | 99,99843148% |
| -25 | 0,00207156% | 99,99718944% |
| -24 | 0,00349764% | 99,99511788% |
| -23 | 0,00577516% | 99,99162024% |
| -22 | 0,00930460% | 99,98584508% |
| -21 | 0,01452172% | 99,97654048% |
| -20 | 0,02270716% | 99,96201876% |
| -19 | 0,03450448% | 99,93931160% |
| -18 | 0,05066440% | 99,90480712% |
| -17 | 0,07535312% | 99,85414272% |
| -16 | 0,10798116% | 99,77878960% |
| -15 | 0,15243196% | 99,6708% |
| -14 | 0,21385236% | 99,5184% |
| -13 | 0,29419912% | 99,3045% |
| -12 | 0,39597112% | 99,0103% |
| -11 | 0,51736804% | 98,6144% |
| -10 | 0,70998200% | 98,1% |
| -9 | 0,90099252% | 97,4% |
| -8 | 1,17157960% | 96,5% |
| -7 | 1,56993548% | 95,3% |
| -6 | 2,06477432% | 93,7% |
| -5 | 2,76675644% | 91,7% |
| -4 | 3,80111092% | 88,9% |
| -3 | 5,44246824% | 85,1% |
| -2 | 8,15994788% | 79,7% |
| -1 | 13,10684724% | 71,5% |
| 0 | 16,83048012% | 58,4% |
| 1 | 13,10062740% | 41,6% |
| 2 | 8,15290812% | 28,5% |
| 3 | 5,43519040% | 20,3% |
| 4 | 3,79563692% | 14,9% |
| 5 | 2,76242648% | 11,1% |
| 6 | 2,06040976% | 8,3% |
| 7 | 1,56590072% | 6,3% |
| 8 | 1,16980792% | 4,7% |
| 9 | 0,90060712% | 3,5% |
| 10 | 0,71019488% | 2,6% |
| 11 | 0,51824868% | 1,9184% |
| 12 | 0,39732080% | 1,4002% |
| 13 | 0,29588316% | 1,0028% |
| 14 | 0,21550572% | 0,7069% |
| 15 | 0,15408880% | 0,4914% |
| 16 | 0,10962696% | 0,33735420% |
| 17 | 0,07674228% | 0,22772724% |
| 18 | 0,05193564% | 0,15098496% |
| 19 | 0,03565008% | 0,09904932% |
| 20 | 0,02349176% | 0,06339924% |
| 21 | 0,01506204% | 0,03990748% |
| 22 | 0,00968112% | 0,02484544% |
| 23 | 0,00603992% | 0,01516432% |
| 24 | 0,00371720% | 0,00912440% |
| 25 | 0,00223572% | 0,00540720% |
| 26 | 0,00135436% | 0,00317148% |
| 27 | 0,00079580% | 0,00181712% |
| 28 | 0,00044736% | 0,00102132% |
| 29 | 0,00026556% | 0,00057396% |
| 30 | 0,00014268% | 0,00030840% |
| 31 | 0,00007744% | 0,00016572% |
| 32 | 0,00004188% | 0,00008828% |
| 33 | 0,00002460% | 0,00004640% |
| 34 | 0,00001232% | 0,00002180% |
| 35 | 0,00000588% | 0,00000948% |
| 36 | 0,00000272% | 0,00000360% |
| 37 | 0,00000084% | 0,00000088% |
| 38 | 0,00000004% | 0,00000004% |